Allient Inc. logo ALNT - Allient Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 5
HOLD 0
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $76.25 DETAILS
HIGH: $80.00
LOW: $70.00
MEDIAN: $77.50
CONSENSUS: $76.25
DOWNSIDE: 11.80%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 40.6% above fair value
Current Price $86.45
Bear Case $45.22 47.7% downside ($45.22 - $86.45) / $86.45 = -47.7% 5% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $61.48 28.9% downside ($61.48 - $86.45) / $86.45 = -28.9% 9% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $77.00 10.9% downside ($77.00 - $86.45) / $86.45 = -10.9% 12% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

9.1%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (9% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 34%
Implied Market Multiple 23.8x
Market is pricing in (growth) 13.2% vs our 9.1% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 9% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $61.48 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (5 analysts) $76.25
Analyst Range $70.00 – $80.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 19%

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions