Allot Ltd. logo ALLT - Allot Ltd.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 7
HOLD 6
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $17.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $17.00
LOW: $17.00
MEDIAN: $17.00
CONSENSUS: $17.00
UPSIDE: 89.63%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 419.9% above fair value
Current Price $8.96
Bear Case $1.44 83.9% downside ($1.44 - $8.96) / $8.96 = -83.9% $0.08 × 18x P/E
Fair Value $1.72 80.8% downside ($1.72 - $8.96) / $8.96 = -80.8% $0.08 × 22x P/E
Bull Case $2.00 77.6% downside ($2.00 - $8.96) / $8.96 = -77.6% $0.08 × 25x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

21.5x
0.08$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 111.8x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 22x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.08, the base-case value is $1.72 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (15 analysts) $17.00
Analyst Range $17.00 – $17.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 90%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $17.00 (from 15 analysts). Our estimate is 90% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples