American Electric Power Company, Inc. logo AEP - American Electric Power Company, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 22
HOLD 13
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $136.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $150.00
LOW: $107.00
MEDIAN: $138.50
CONSENSUS: $136.67
UPSIDE: 3.86%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 13.8% above fair value
Current Price $131.59
Bear Case $101.14 23.1% downside ($101.14 - $131.59) / $131.59 = -23.1% $6.66 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $115.59 12.2% downside ($115.59 - $131.59) / $131.59 = -12.2% $6.66 × 16x P/E
Bull Case $130.04 1.2% downside ($130.04 - $131.59) / $131.59 = -1.2% $6.66 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

16.0x
6.66$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 19.8x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $136.67 from 35 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $115.59 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples