AEP - American Electric Power Company, Inc.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$140.38
DETAILS
HIGH:
$147.00
LOW:
$129.00
MEDIAN:
$142.00
CONSENSUS:
$140.38
UPSIDE:
12.76%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
16.0x
6.66$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
18.7x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $6.66, the base-case value is $106.56 per share. DDM cross-check: $99.37.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (36 analysts)
$140.38
Analyst Range
$129.00 – $147.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
24%
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples