AEE - Ameren Corporation
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$116.33
DETAILS
HIGH:
$126.00
LOW:
$104.00
MEDIAN:
$118.00
CONSENSUS:
$116.33
UPSIDE:
13.84%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
16.6x
5.35$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
19.1x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 17x P/E to adjusted EPS of $5.35, the base-case value is $88.66 per share. DDM cross-check: $103.36.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (25 analysts)
$116.33
Analyst Range
$104.00 – $126.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
24%
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples