ADUS - Addus HomeCare Corporation
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$115.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$134.00
LOW:
$96.00
MEDIAN:
$115.00
CONSENSUS:
$115.00
DOWNSIDE:
2.55%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
85% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
11.0%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (11% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
40%
Implied Market Multiple
23.6x
Market is pricing in (growth)
11.2%
vs our 11.0% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 11% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $115.67 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (16 analysts)
$115.00
Analyst Range
$96.00 – $134.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
1%
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions