ADEA - Adeia Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$39.33
DETAILS
HIGH:
$43.00
LOW:
$35.00
MEDIAN:
$40.00
CONSENSUS:
$39.33
UPSIDE:
52.92%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
21.5x
0.99$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
26.0x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 22x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.99, the base-case value is $21.29 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (5 analysts)
$39.33
Analyst Range
$35.00 – $43.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
46%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $39.33 (from 5 analysts). Our estimate is 46% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples