Enact Holdings Inc. logo ACT - Enact Holdings Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 3
HOLD 6
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $46.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $46.00
LOW: $46.00
MEDIAN: $46.00
CONSENSUS: $46.00
DOWNSIDE: 6.26%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 57.9% below fair value
Current Price $49.07
Bear Case $73.78 50.4% upside ($73.78 - $49.07) / $49.07 = 50.4% ROTCE 9.4% → 1.92x TBV
Fair Value $116.44 137.3% upside ($116.44 - $49.07) / $49.07 = 137.3% ROTCE 12.6% → 3.04x TBV
Bull Case $142.04 189.5% upside ($142.04 - $49.07) / $49.07 = 189.5% ROTCE 14.5% → 3.70x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

12.6%
6.8%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (12.6%) vs. cost of equity (6.8%)

Implied Market Multiple 1.28x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 12.6% vs. 6.8% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 3.04x on $38.36 tangible book, implying $116.44 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (9 analysts) $46.00
Analyst Range $46.00 – $46.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 153%

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Wall Street's average price target is $46.00 (from 9 analysts). Our estimate is 153% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly