Enact Holdings Inc. logo ACT - Enact Holdings Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 3
HOLD 5
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $45.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $46.00
LOW: $44.00
MEDIAN: $45.00
CONSENSUS: $45.00
UPSIDE: 0.16%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 60.4% below fair value
Current Price $44.93
Bear Case $71.96 60.2% upside ($71.96 - $44.93) / $44.93 = 60.2% ROTCE 9.4% → 1.88x TBV
Fair Value $113.57 152.8% upside ($113.57 - $44.93) / $44.93 = 152.8% ROTCE 12.6% → 2.96x TBV
Bull Case $138.54 208.4% upside ($138.54 - $44.93) / $44.93 = 208.4% ROTCE 14.5% → 3.61x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

12.6%
6.9%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (12.6%) vs. cost of equity (6.9%)

Implied Market Multiple 1.17x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 12.6% vs. 6.9% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 2.96x on $38.36 tangible book, implying $113.57 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (9 analysts) $45.00
Analyst Range $44.00 – $46.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 152%

Warnings

⚠ Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
⚠ Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $45.00 (from 9 analysts). Our estimate is 152% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly