ACT - Enact Holdings Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$45.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$46.00
LOW:
$44.00
MEDIAN:
$45.00
CONSENSUS:
$45.00
UPSIDE:
0.16%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Adjust Assumptions
12.6%
6.9%
Key Value Driver
ROTCE (12.6%) vs. cost of equity (6.9%)
Implied Market Multiple
1.17x
Plain-Language Summary
With ROTCE of 12.6% vs. 6.9% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 2.96x on $38.36 tangible book, implying $113.57 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (9 analysts)
$45.00
Analyst Range
$44.00 – $46.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
152%
Warnings
Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Wall Street's average price target is $45.00 (from 9 analysts). Our estimate is 152% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
- Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
- Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly