Accenture plc logo ACN - Accenture plc

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 35
HOLD 17
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $198.89 DETAILS
HIGH: $282.00
LOW: $130.00
MEDIAN: $195.00
CONSENSUS: $198.89
UPSIDE: 47.08%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 80% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 51.3% below fair value
Current Price $135.23
Bear Case $211.09 56.1% upside ($211.09 - $135.23) / $135.23 = 56.1% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $277.90 105.5% upside ($277.90 - $135.23) / $135.23 = 105.5% 9% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $342.59 153.3% upside ($342.59 - $135.23) / $135.23 = 153.3% 12% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

9.5%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (9% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 38%
Implied Market Multiple 8.5x
Market is pricing in (growth) -2.8% vs our 9.5% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $198.89 from 53 analysts, using a 35% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $277.90 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $198.89 (from 53 analysts). Our estimate is 61% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions