AAMI - Acadian Asset Management
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$81.67
DETAILS
HIGH:
$84.00
LOW:
$80.00
MEDIAN:
$81.00
CONSENSUS:
$81.67
DOWNSIDE:
14.47%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers
90% confidence
Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Adjust Assumptions
132.0%
11.5%
Key Value Driver
ROTCE (132.0%) vs. cost of equity (11.5%)
Implied Market Multiple
56.14x
Plain-Language Summary
With ROTCE of 132.0% vs. 11.5% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 2.81x on $1.70 tangible book, implying $66.09 per share.
Warnings
Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Key Risks
- Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
- Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
- Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly