RSI Rush Street Interactive, Inc.
$27.06
Stable Earnings Power 65%
P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Strong · Conviction

Overvalued

Trading 178.6% above fair value

You pay $27.06
Bear $7.77
Fair $9.71
Bull $11.66
Bear $7.77 -71.3% $0.20 × 18x P/E
Fair $9.71 -64.1% $0.20 × 22x P/E
Bull $11.66 -56.9% $0.20 × 27x P/E

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 134.2x

Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $30.40 from 13 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $9.71 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 44%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Wall Street's average price target is $30.40 (from 13 analysts). Our estimate is 85% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples