ACT Enact Holdings, Inc.
$42.73
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85%
P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Strong · Conviction

Undervalued

Trading 55.4% below fair value

You pay $42.73
Bear $60.66
Fair $95.75
Bull $116.80
Bear $60.66 +42.0% ROTCE 9.4% → 1.79x TBV
Fair $95.75 +124.1% ROTCE 12.6% → 2.83x TBV
Bull $116.80 +173.4% ROTCE 14.5% → 3.45x TBV

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (12.6%) vs. cost of equity (7.0%)

Implied Market Multiple 1.11x

Summary

Our base-case estimate uses P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $45.00 from 8 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $95.75 per share.

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Wall Street's average price target is $45.00 (from 8 analysts). Our estimate is 141% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly