XRAY DENTSPLY SIRONA Inc.
$13.02
Stable Earnings Power 40%
P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Strong · Conviction

Undervalued

Trading 43.0% below fair value

You pay $13.02
Bear $18.29
Fair $22.85
Bull $27.43
Bear $18.29 +40.5% $1.81 × 12x P/E
Fair $22.85 +75.5% $1.81 × 15x P/E
Bull $27.43 +110.7% $1.81 × 18x P/E

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 7.2x

Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $12.67 from 31 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $22.85 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $12.67 (from 31 analysts). Our estimate is 115% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples