VREX Varex Imaging Corporation
$10.07
Stable Earnings Power 40%
P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Moderate · Conviction

Fair Value

Trading 22.4% below fair value

You pay $10.07
Bear $10.38
Fair $12.98
Bull $15.58
Bear $10.38 +3.1% $0.84 × 12x P/E
Fair $12.98 +28.9% $0.84 × 15x P/E
Bull $15.58 +54.7% $0.84 × 18x P/E

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 12.0x

Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $14.50 from 6 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $12.98 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples