VEEV
Veeva Systems Inc.
$190.12
Platform & Compounding FCF
85%
Two-stage FCF DCF
Moderate
·
Conviction
Fair Value
Trading 23.2% below fair value
You pay
$190.12
Bear
$168.47
Fair
$247.59
Bull
$337.68
Bear
$168.47
-11.4%
10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair
$247.59
+30.2%
16% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull
$337.68
+77.6%
21% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (16% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
43%
Implied Market Multiple
23.7x
Market is pricing in (growth)
11.2%
vs 15.9% base
Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $235.38 from 43 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $247.59 per share.
Warnings
Stock-based employee pay equals 52% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions