TECH Bio-Techne Corporation
$72.12
Stable Earnings Power 80%
P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Strong · Conviction

Overvalued

Trading 344.1% above fair value

You pay $72.12
Bear $13.92
Fair $16.24
Bull $18.56
Bear $13.92 -80.7% $1.16 × 12x P/E
Fair $16.24 -77.5% $1.16 × 14x P/E
Bull $18.56 -74.3% $1.16 × 16x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

14.0x
1.16$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (14x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 62.2x

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above.

Average Target (26 analysts) $65.78
Divergence from AlphaVal 75%

Summary

Applying a 14x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.16, the base-case value is $16.24 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $65.78 (from 26 analysts). Our estimate is 75% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples