SFBS ServisFirst Bancshares, Inc.
$77.41
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85%
P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Mild · Conviction

Overvalued

Trading 3.7% above fair value

You pay $77.41
Bear $49.22
Fair $74.63
Bull $89.88
Bear $49.22 -36.4% ROTCE 11.3% → 1.39x TBV
Fair $74.63 -3.6% ROTCE 15.1% → 2.11x TBV
Bull $89.88 +16.1% ROTCE 17.3% → 2.54x TBV

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (15.1%) vs. cost of equity (9.2%)

Implied Market Multiple 2.3x

Summary

Our base-case estimate uses P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $90.00 from 6 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $74.63 per share.

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly