SCSC
ScanSource, Inc.
$53.08
Stable Earnings Power
50%
P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Mild
·
Conviction
Overvalued
Trading 11.9% above fair value
You pay
$53.08
Bear
$37.94
Fair
$47.42
Bull
$56.90
Bear
$37.94
-28.5%
$3.23 × 12x P/E
Fair
$47.42
-10.7%
$3.23 × 15x P/E
Bull
$56.90
+7.2%
$3.23 × 18x P/E
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
16.4x
Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $43.00 from 5 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $47.42 per share.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples