RRBI Red River Bancshares, Inc.
$95.78
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85%
P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Strong · Conviction

Undervalued

Trading 41.2% below fair value

You pay $95.78
Bear $101.14
Fair $162.83
Bull $199.84
Bear $101.14 +5.6% ROTCE 8.8% → 1.83x TBV
Fair $162.83 +70.0% ROTCE 11.8% → 2.95x TBV
Bull $199.84 +108.7% ROTCE 13.5% → 3.62x TBV

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (11.8%) vs. cost of equity (6.6%)

Implied Market Multiple 1.73x

Summary

With ROTCE of 11.8% vs. 6.6% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 2.95x on $55.22 tangible book, implying $162.83 per share.

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly