RLGT Radiant Logistics, Inc.
$8.13
Platform & Compounding FCF 50%
Two-stage FCF DCF
Strong · Conviction

Overvalued

Trading 331.5% above fair value

You pay $8.13
Bear $1.37
Fair $1.88
Bull $2.34
Bear $1.37 -83.1% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair $1.88 -76.8% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull $2.34 -71.2% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

6.0%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (6% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 35%
Implied Market Multiple 47.7x
Market is pricing in (growth) 20.6% vs 6.0% base

Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 6% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $1.88 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions