RICK RCI Hospitality Holdings, Inc.
$26.75
Stable Earnings Power 80%
P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Strong · Conviction

Undervalued

Trading 55.7% below fair value

You pay $26.75
Bear $50.55
Fair $60.38
Bull $70.21
Bear $50.55 +89.0% $2.81 × 18x P/E
Fair $60.38 +125.7% $2.81 × 22x P/E
Bull $70.21 +162.4% $2.81 × 25x P/E

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 9.5x

Summary

Applying a 22x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.81, the base-case value is $60.38 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 128%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples