RICK RCI Hospitality Holdings, Inc.
$24.30
Stable Earnings Power 80%
P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Strong · Conviction

Undervalued

Trading 59.7% below fair value

You pay $24.30
Bear $50.52
Fair $60.35
Bull $70.17
Bear $50.52 +107.9% $2.81 × 18x P/E
Fair $60.35 +148.3% $2.81 × 22x P/E
Bull $70.17 +188.8% $2.81 × 25x P/E

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 8.7x

Summary

Applying a 22x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.81, the base-case value is $60.35 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 128%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples