RGA
Reinsurance Group of America, Incorporated
$214.04
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers
85%
P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Moderate
·
Conviction
Undervalued
Trading 29.4% below fair value
You pay
$214.04
Bear
$163.93
Fair
$303.00
Bull
$386.45
Bear
$163.93
-23.4%
ROTCE 6.6% → 0.85x TBV
Fair
$303.00
+41.6%
ROTCE 8.8% → 1.57x TBV
Bull
$386.45
+80.5%
ROTCE 10.1% → 2.00x TBV
Key Value Driver
ROTCE (8.8%) vs. cost of equity (7.0%)
Implied Market Multiple
1.04x
Summary
Our base-case estimate uses P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $243.67 from 22 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $303.00 per share.
Warnings
Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Dividend-based valuation: $187.49 (42% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.
Wall Street's average price target is $243.67 (from 22 analysts). Our estimate is 32% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
- Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
- Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly