RERE ATRenew Inc.
$4.16
Stable Earnings Power 80%
P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Moderate · Conviction

Overvalued

Trading 30.9% above fair value

You pay $4.16
Bear $2.78
Fair $3.18
Bull $3.57
Bear $2.78 -33.2% $0.13 × 21x P/E
Fair $3.18 -23.6% $0.13 × 24x P/E
Bull $3.57 -14.1% $0.13 × 27x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

24.0x
0.13$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (24x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 31.4x

Summary

Applying a 24x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.13, the base-case value is $3.18 per share.

Warnings

Financial statements were converted from CNY into USD using USDCNY at 0.1488 USD per CNY.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples