PVH PVH Corp.
$88.92
Stable Earnings Power 40%
P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Moderate · Conviction

Undervalued

Trading 36.9% below fair value

You pay $88.92
Bear $112.70
Fair $140.88
Bull $169.06
Bear $112.70 +26.7% $10.56 × 12x P/E
Fair $140.88 +58.4% $10.56 × 15x P/E
Bull $169.06 +90.1% $10.56 × 18x P/E

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 8.4x

Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $100.00 from 38 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $140.88 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 1892%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Wall Street's average price target is $100.00 (from 38 analysts). Our estimate is 58% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples