PRTH
Priority Technology Holdings, Inc.
$5.38
Platform & Compounding FCF
85%
Two-stage FCF DCF
Strong
·
Conviction
Undervalued
Trading 88.3% below fair value
You pay
$5.38
Bear
$25.32
Fair
$45.98
Bull
$68.97
Bear
$25.32
+370.6%
9% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair
$45.98
+754.6%
15% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull
$68.97
+1181.9%
20% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Adjust Assumptions
15.2%
12.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (15% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
39%
Implied Market Multiple
8.2x
Market is pricing in (growth)
-1.9%
vs 15.2% base
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above.
Average Target (5 analysts)
$7.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
557%
Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 15% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $45.98 per share.
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $7.00 (from 5 analysts). Our estimate is 557% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions