PRDO Perdoceo Education Corporation
$35.71
Stable Earnings Power 80%
P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Moderate · Conviction

Fair Value

Trading 16.9% below fair value

You pay $35.71
Bear $35.37
Fair $42.96
Bull $50.54
Bear $35.37 -0.9% $2.51 × 14x P/E
Fair $42.96 +20.3% $2.51 × 17x P/E
Bull $50.54 +41.5% $2.51 × 20x P/E

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 14.2x

Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $44.00 from 9 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $42.96 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples