PLTK
Playtika Holding Corp.
$2.11
Platform & Compounding FCF
80%
Two-stage FCF DCF
Strong
·
Conviction
Undervalued
Trading 83.7% below fair value
You pay
$2.11
Bear
$12.96
Fair
$12.96
Bull
$14.16
Bear
$12.96
+514.1%
3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair
$12.96
+514.1%
3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull
$14.16
+570.9%
4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Adjust Assumptions
3.0%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (3% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
33%
Implied Market Multiple
5.0x
Market is pricing in (growth)
-10.9%
vs 3.0% base
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above.
Average Target (17 analysts)
$3.58
Divergence from AlphaVal
262%
Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 3% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $12.96 per share.
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $3.58 (from 17 analysts). Our estimate is 262% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
This stock is 52% below its 52-week high, with weak or declining earnings. That combination often signals real trouble, even though the valuation below is based on other fundamentals.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions