OXM
Oxford Industries, Inc.
$41.73
Platform & Compounding FCF
50%
Two-stage FCF DCF
Moderate
·
Conviction
Overvalued
Trading 30.9% above fair value
You pay
$41.73
Bear
$31.87
Fair
$31.87
Bull
$36.62
Bear
$31.87
-23.6%
3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair
$31.87
-23.6%
3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull
$36.62
-12.2%
4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (3% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
33%
Implied Market Multiple
14.9x
Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $34.67 from 21 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $31.87 per share.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions