NVST Envista Holdings Corp
$25.55
Stable Earnings Power 80%
P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Strong · Conviction

Overvalued

Trading 223.8% above fair value

You pay $25.55
Bear $6.31
Fair $7.89
Bull $9.47
Bear $6.31 -75.3% $0.53 × 12x P/E
Fair $7.89 -69.1% $0.53 × 15x P/E
Bull $9.47 -62.9% $0.53 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
0.53$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 48.6x

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above.

Average Target (19 analysts) $29.50
Divergence from AlphaVal 73%

Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.53, the base-case value is $7.89 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 88%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Wall Street's average price target is $29.50 (from 19 analysts). Our estimate is 73% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples