NABL
N-able, Inc.
$3.41
Platform & Compounding FCF
70%
Two-stage FCF DCF
Mild
·
Conviction
Overvalued
Trading 0.0% below fair value
Bear
$0.00
-100.0%
7% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair
$0.00
-100.0%
12% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull
$0.00
-100.0%
16% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Adjust Assumptions
12.2%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (12% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
0%
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above.
Average Target (6 analysts)
$4.47
Divergence from AlphaVal
100%
Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 12% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $0.00 per share.
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $4.47 (from 6 analysts). Our estimate is 100% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
This stock is 61% below its 52-week high, with weak or declining earnings. That combination often signals real trouble, even though the valuation below is based on other fundamentals.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions