MTD
Mettler-Toledo International Inc.
$1,625.73
Stable Earnings Power
80%
P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Strong
·
Conviction
Overvalued
Trading 157.7% above fair value
You pay
$1,625.73
Bear
$504.60
Fair
$630.75
Bull
$756.90
Bear
$504.60
-69.0%
$42.05 × 12x P/E
Fair
$630.75
-61.2%
$42.05 × 15x P/E
Bull
$756.90
-53.4%
$42.05 × 18x P/E
Adjust Assumptions
15.0x
42.05$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
38.7x
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above.
Average Target (19 analysts)
$1502.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
58%
Summary
Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $42.05, the base-case value is $630.75 per share.
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $1502.00 (from 19 analysts). Our estimate is 58% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples