MD
Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc.
$21.27
Stable Earnings Power
80%
P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Moderate
·
Conviction
Undervalued
Trading 39.0% below fair value
You pay
$21.27
Bear
$27.88
Fair
$34.85
Bull
$41.82
Bear
$27.88
+31.1%
$2.66 × 12x P/E
Fair
$34.85
+63.8%
$2.66 × 15x P/E
Bull
$41.82
+96.6%
$2.66 × 18x P/E
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
8.0x
Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $23.20 from 33 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $34.85 per share.
Warnings
The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 37%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Wall Street's average price target is $23.20 (from 33 analysts). Our estimate is 72% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples