LOVE The Lovesac Company
$16.16
Stable Earnings Power 80%
P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Strong · Conviction

Undervalued

Trading 48.2% below fair value

You pay $16.16
Bear $27.32
Fair $31.22
Bull $35.13
Bear $27.32 +69.1% $1.45 × 20x P/E
Fair $31.22 +93.2% $1.45 × 23x P/E
Bull $35.13 +117.4% $1.45 × 26x P/E

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (23x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 11.1x

Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $22.50 from 11 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $31.22 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 418%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Wall Street's average price target is $22.50 (from 11 analysts). Our estimate is 48% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples