LEG Leggett & Platt, Incorporated
$10.70
Stable Earnings Power 80%
P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Strong · Conviction

Undervalued

Trading 65.9% below fair value

You pay $10.70
Bear $27.47
Fair $31.39
Bull $35.31
Bear $27.47 +156.7% $2.27 × 14x P/E
Fair $31.39 +193.4% $2.27 × 16x P/E
Bull $35.31 +230.0% $2.27 × 18x P/E

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 4.7x

Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $11.67 from 14 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $31.39 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 34%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Wall Street's average price target is $11.67 (from 14 analysts). Our estimate is 211% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples