LBRDA
Liberty Broadband Corporation
$31.33
Distressed or Transitioning
75%
Current EPS × Depressed Multiple
Strong
·
Conviction
Undervalued
Trading 78.2% below fair value
You pay
$31.33
Bear
$95.60
Fair
$143.41
Bull
$191.20
Bear
$95.60
+205.1%
EPS continues to decline, 5x multiple
Fair
$143.41
+357.7%
Current EPS stabilizes, 8x multiple
Bull
$191.20
+510.3%
Credible recovery, multiple re-rates to 10x
Key Value Driver
Whether the core business model is intact or structurally impaired
Implied Market Multiple
1.7x
Summary
Our base-case estimate uses Current EPS × Depressed Multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $158.00 from 13 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $143.41 per share.
Warnings
Don't assume past cash flow levels will return — the company's troubles may have permanently reduced its ability to generate profits.
A stock can look cheap on paper and still lose half its value if the underlying business is permanently damaged.
The wide range between our best and worst cases is intentional — pretending to know a precise value for a troubled company would be misleading.
Key Risks
- Bullish DCF projections are fundamentally unknowable for distressed companies
- M&A speculation can floor the stock above intrinsic value temporarily
- Management credibility is a key input — new CEO expands the bull case