INFA
Informatica Inc.
$24.79
Stable Earnings Power
40%
P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Strong
·
Conviction
Overvalued
Trading 3537.3% above fair value
You pay
$24.79
Bear
$0.57
Fair
$0.68
Bull
$0.79
Bear
$0.57
-97.7%
$0.03 × 18x P/E
Fair
$0.68
-97.3%
$0.03 × 22x P/E
Bull
$0.79
-96.8%
$0.03 × 25x P/E
Adjust Assumptions
21.5x
0.03$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
782.0x
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above.
Average Target (14 analysts)
$26.67
Divergence from AlphaVal
97%
Summary
Applying a 22x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.03, the base-case value is $0.68 per share.
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $26.67 (from 14 analysts). Our estimate is 97% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples