IDT IDT Corporation
$82.16
Stable Earnings Power 40%
P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Moderate · Conviction

Overvalued

Trading 27.2% above fair value

You pay $82.16
Bear $51.65
Fair $64.57
Bull $77.48
Bear $51.65 -37.1% $3.46 × 15x P/E
Fair $64.57 -21.4% $3.46 × 19x P/E
Bull $77.48 -5.7% $3.46 × 22x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

18.7x
3.46$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (19x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 23.7x

Summary

Applying a 19x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.46, the base-case value is $64.57 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples