IDT IDT Corporation
$68.99
Stable Earnings Power 40%
P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Mild · Conviction

Overvalued

Trading 1.9% above fair value

You pay $68.99
Bear $54.18
Fair $67.72
Bull $81.27
Bear $54.18 -21.5% $3.01 × 18x P/E
Fair $67.72 -1.8% $3.01 × 22x P/E
Bull $81.27 +17.8% $3.01 × 27x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

22.5x
3.01$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 22.9x

Summary

Applying a 22x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.01, the base-case value is $67.72 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples