IDT IDT Corporation
$62.44
Stable Earnings Power 40%
P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Mild · Conviction

Fair Value

Trading 8.3% below fair value

You pay $62.44
Bear $54.46
Fair $68.08
Bull $81.69
Bear $54.46 -12.8% $3.03 × 18x P/E
Fair $68.08 +9.0% $3.03 × 22x P/E
Bull $81.69 +30.8% $3.03 × 27x P/E

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 20.6x

Summary

Applying a 22x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.03, the base-case value is $68.08 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples