HR Healthcare Realty Trust Incorporated
$21.23
Real Estate Investment Trust 85%
P/FFO × Healthcare REIT Multiple
Mild · Conviction

Overvalued

Trading 6.6% above fair value

You pay $21.23
Bear $15.49
Fair $19.92
Bull $24.35
Bear $15.49 -27.0% $0.91 FFO × 16x
Fair $19.92 -6.2% $0.91 FFO × 21x
Bull $24.35 +14.7% $0.91 FFO × 26x

Key Value Driver

FFO/share ($0.91) × healthcare P/FFO multiple

Implied Market Multiple 23.4x

Summary

Our base-case estimate uses P/FFO × Healthcare REIT Multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $22.00 from 30 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $19.92 per share.

Warnings

Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.

Key Risks

  • P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
  • Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
  • FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify