HAE Haemonetics Corporation
$65.49
Stable Earnings Power 80%
P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Moderate · Conviction

Overvalued

Trading 26.5% above fair value

You pay $65.49
Bear $41.41
Fair $51.76
Bull $62.11
Bear $41.41 -36.8% $2.80 × 13x P/E
Fair $51.76 -21.0% $2.80 × 16x P/E
Bull $62.11 -5.2% $2.80 × 19x P/E

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 23.4x

Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $75.33 from 21 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $51.76 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 37%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Wall Street's average price target is $75.33 (from 21 analysts). Our estimate is 42% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples