HAE Haemonetics Corporation
$76.68
Stable Earnings Power 80%
P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Strong · Conviction

Overvalued

Trading 44.7% above fair value

You pay $76.68
Bear $42.41
Fair $53.01
Bull $63.61
Bear $42.41 -44.7% $2.80 × 13x P/E
Fair $53.01 -30.9% $2.80 × 16x P/E
Bull $63.61 -17.0% $2.80 × 19x P/E

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 27.4x

Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $80.33 from 21 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $53.01 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 37%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Wall Street's average price target is $80.33 (from 21 analysts). Our estimate is 45% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples