HAE Haemonetics Corporation
$102.69
Stable Earnings Power 80%
P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Strong · Conviction

Overvalued

Trading 234.0% above fair value

You pay $102.69
Bear $24.60
Fair $30.75
Bull $36.90
Bear $24.60 -76.0% $2.05 × 12x P/E
Fair $30.75 -70.1% $2.05 × 15x P/E
Bull $36.90 -64.1% $2.05 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
2.05$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 50.1x

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above.

Average Target (21 analysts) $108.60
Divergence from AlphaVal 72%

Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.05, the base-case value is $30.75 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $108.60 (from 21 analysts). Our estimate is 72% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples