FRHC Freedom Holding Corp.
$144.15
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 90%
P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Strong · Conviction

Overvalued

Trading 60.7% above fair value

You pay $144.15
Bear $62.79
Fair $89.70
Bull $116.61
Bear $62.79 -56.4% ROTCE 5.7% → 0.40x TBV
Fair $89.70 -37.8% ROTCE 7.6% → 0.85x TBV
Bull $116.61 -19.1% ROTCE 8.8% → 1.12x TBV

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (7.6%) vs. cost of equity (8.3%)

Implied Market Multiple 7.94x

Summary

With ROTCE of 7.6% vs. 8.3% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 0.85x on $18.16 tangible book, implying $89.70 per share.

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Return on equity (7.6%) is below the minimum investors require (8.3%). This means the bank is worth less than the net assets on its books.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly