FNKO
Funko, Inc.
$5.21
Stable Earnings Power
40%
P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Moderate
·
Conviction
Undervalued
Trading 35.2% below fair value
You pay
$5.21
Bear
$6.43
Fair
$8.04
Bull
$9.65
Bear
$6.43
+23.4%
$0.57 × 12x P/E
Fair
$8.04
+54.4%
$0.57 × 15x P/E
Bull
$9.65
+85.3%
$0.57 × 18x P/E
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
9.2x
Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $6.25 from 14 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $8.04 per share.
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $6.25 (from 14 analysts). Our estimate is 36% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples