FDP Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc.
$29.22
Stable Earnings Power 80%
P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Strong · Conviction

Overvalued

Trading 51.4% above fair value

You pay $29.22
Bear $15.44
Fair $19.30
Bull $23.16
Bear $15.44 -47.2% $1.93 × 8x P/E
Fair $19.30 -34.0% $1.93 × 10x P/E
Bull $23.16 -20.8% $1.93 × 12x P/E

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (10x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 15.1x

Summary

Applying a 10x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.93, the base-case value is $19.30 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples