EW Edwards Lifesciences Corporation
$91.79
Stable Earnings Power 80%
P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Strong · Conviction

Overvalued

Trading 75.7% above fair value

You pay $91.79
Bear $41.80
Fair $52.25
Bull $62.71
Bear $41.80 -54.5% $1.99 × 13x P/E
Fair $52.25 -43.1% $1.99 × 16x P/E
Bull $62.71 -31.7% $1.99 × 19x P/E

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 46.1x

Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $99.91 from 48 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $52.25 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $99.91 (from 48 analysts). Our estimate is 68% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples