EW Edwards Lifesciences Corporation
$85.78
Stable Earnings Power 80%
P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Strong · Conviction

Overvalued

Trading 66.9% above fair value

You pay $85.78
Bear $41.12
Fair $51.41
Bull $61.69
Bear $41.12 -52.1% $1.99 × 13x P/E
Fair $51.41 -40.1% $1.99 × 16x P/E
Bull $61.69 -28.1% $1.99 × 19x P/E

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 43.1x

Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $97.08 from 48 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $51.41 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $97.08 (from 48 analysts). Our estimate is 67% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples