EQIX Equinix, Inc.
$1,008.02
Real Estate Investment Trust 85%
P/FFO × Specialty REIT Multiple
Moderate · Conviction

Fair Value

Trading 15.3% below fair value

You pay $1,008.02
Bear $969.78
Fair $1,190.19
Bull $1,410.60
Bear $969.78 -3.8% $34.64 FFO × 29x
Fair $1,190.19 +18.1% $34.64 FFO × 35x
Bull $1,410.60 +39.9% $34.64 FFO × 42x

Key Value Driver

FFO/share ($34.64) × specialty P/FFO multiple

Implied Market Multiple 29.1x

Summary

Our base-case estimate uses P/FFO × Specialty REIT Multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $1142.75 from 52 analysts, using a 35% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $1190.19 per share.

Warnings

Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
The 2.0% yield is low for a real estate company — investors are paying up because they expect above-average growth.

Key Risks

  • P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
  • Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
  • FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify