EQBK Equity Bancshares, Inc.
$45.97
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85%
P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Mild · Conviction

Fair Value

Trading 11.0% below fair value

You pay $45.97
Bear $36.17
Fair $51.66
Bull $67.16
Bear $36.17 -21.3% ROTCE 4.0% → 0.30x TBV
Fair $51.66 +12.4% ROTCE 3.6% → 0.30x TBV
Bull $67.16 +46.1% ROTCE 4.2% → 0.30x TBV

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (3.6%) vs. cost of equity (8.6%)

Implied Market Multiple 1.51x

Summary

Our base-case estimate uses P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $52.50 from 5 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $51.66 per share.

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Return on equity (3.6%) is below the minimum investors require (8.6%). This means the bank is worth less than the net assets on its books.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly