DJCO
Daily Journal Corporation
$473.28
Platform & Compounding FCF
80%
Two-stage FCF DCF
Moderate
·
Conviction
Fair Value
Trading 20.5% below fair value
You pay
$473.28
Bear
$523.54
Fair
$594.99
Bull
$668.69
Bear
$523.54
+10.6%
7% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair
$594.99
+25.7%
12% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull
$668.69
+41.3%
15% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (12% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
40%
Implied Market Multiple
12.2x
Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 12% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $594.99 per share.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions