CORZ Core Scientific, Inc.
$20.75
Stable Earnings Power 40%
P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Strong · Conviction

Overvalued

Trading 56.8% above fair value

You pay $20.75
Bear $11.08
Fair $13.23
Bull $15.38
Bear $11.08 -46.6% $0.20 × 27x P/E
Fair $13.23 -36.2% $0.20 × 32x P/E
Bull $15.38 -25.8% $0.20 × 38x P/E

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (32x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 103.7x

Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $33.57 from 22 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $13.23 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $33.57 (from 22 analysts). Our estimate is 81% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples