CNXN PC Connection, Inc.
$84.35
Stable Earnings Power 65%
P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Strong · Conviction

Overvalued

Trading 72.0% above fair value

You pay $84.35
Bear $39.24
Fair $49.05
Bull $58.86
Bear $39.24 -53.5% $3.27 × 12x P/E
Fair $49.05 -41.8% $3.27 × 15x P/E
Bull $58.86 -30.2% $3.27 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
3.27$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 25.8x

Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.27, the base-case value is $49.05 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples