CCRN Cross Country Healthcare, Inc.
$13.25
Stable Earnings Power 40%
P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Strong · Conviction

Undervalued

Trading 51.1% below fair value

You pay $13.25
Bear $21.68
Fair $27.10
Bull $32.52
Bear $21.68 +63.6% $2.05 × 12x P/E
Fair $27.10 +104.5% $2.05 × 15x P/E
Bull $32.52 +145.4% $2.05 × 18x P/E

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 6.5x

Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $12.50 from 14 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $27.10 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $12.50 (from 14 analysts). Our estimate is 146% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples