CASS Cass Information Systems, Inc.
$55.18
Stable Earnings Power 65%
P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Strong · Conviction

Overvalued

Trading 40.9% above fair value

You pay $55.18
Bear $31.32
Fair $39.15
Bull $46.98
Bear $31.32 -43.2% $2.61 × 12x P/E
Fair $39.15 -29.1% $2.61 × 15x P/E
Bull $46.98 -14.9% $2.61 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
2.61$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 21.1x

Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.61, the base-case value is $39.15 per share. DDM cross-check: $24.84.

Warnings

Dividend-based valuation: $24.84 (below our primary estimate by 37%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples