BVS Bioventus Inc.
$12.13
Stable Earnings Power 80%
P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Moderate · Conviction

Fair Value

Trading 23.7% below fair value

You pay $12.13
Bear $12.72
Fair $15.90
Bull $19.09
Bear $12.72 +4.8% $0.91 × 14x P/E
Fair $15.90 +31.1% $0.91 × 18x P/E
Bull $19.09 +57.3% $0.91 × 22x P/E

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (18x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 13.4x

Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $14.00 from 6 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $15.90 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 175%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples